Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 51.175278 58.439308 65.969459 74.327266 83.313628 92.656516 103.075452
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 41.081996 51.460475 62.801341 75.984986 90.765186 106.709488 125.096296
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 33.645454 45.424304 58.839235 74.980959 93.623451 114.247450 138.561992
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.000593 40.579640 55.462465 73.923119 95.789407 120.487642 150.126701
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.127071 37.329303 53.494607 74.080682 98.986974 127.600962 162.430449
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.975683 34.591017 51.815914 74.288534 101.997810 134.308912 174.122013
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.539693 32.499039 50.707547 74.989668 105.435905 141.398891 186.176206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.841297 29.740618 48.489434 74.080532 106.730106 145.804758 194.968122
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.284096 28.426353 48.041675 75.321535 110.604757 153.262391 207.365037
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.030308 27.418923 47.904003 76.884588 114.829452 161.118693 220.239709
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.193830 25.307970 46.073229 76.070136 115.926373 165.065706 228.342627
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.269620 22.813995 43.507363 74.101788 115.404916 166.908592 233.805902
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.818773 22.765674 44.520170 77.084233 121.415381 177.020365 249.565952
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.118742 22.203389 44.719214 78.910916 125.905540 185.245344 263.051793
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.844798 20.430649 42.951596 77.864238 126.502182 188.490124 270.332883
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.724750 18.772580 41.233703 76.783894 126.973465 191.519093 277.308090
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.972990 17.729401 40.414024 76.944835 129.083643 196.627402 286.881803
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.315222 16.774981 39.666414 77.157699 131.229190 201.763572 296.489204
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.808755 16.070253 39.282025 77.875508 134.050469 207.772309 307.210293
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.126742 14.812846 37.857344 76.944729 134.522881 210.675611 313.965329
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.809179 14.400563 37.879862 78.215253 138.080063 217.641099 325.925604
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.560351 14.123735 38.121570 79.815225 142.104355 225.236175 338.717909
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.072646 13.060098 36.849840 78.981572 142.622741 228.154325 345.487354